Winning Suit Contract Leads

An Honors eBook Art. # 978-1-55494-527-6
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About the Book

COMPUTER ANALYSIS OF OPENING LEADS Winning Notrump Leads was a ground-breaking and very well-received book that used the power of computers to determine which opening leads work best against a variety of auctions at notrump. Using enhanced software, the authors now turn their attention to suit contracts. They generate millions of random deals, retaining those that match the chosen auction, for example 1S-2S-4S. By playing these deals automatically against each of the 13 possible opening leads from a given hand, they are able to discover which lead is most likely to beat the contract (also the best lead at matchpoint pairs). The authors provide insightful commentary to each result, answering timeless questions such as: * When should I lead a trump? * When is a doubleton a good opening lead? * Should I lead differently against a partscore? * Should I make an aggressive or a passive lead? * Should I lead an ace against a small slam? * Which leads work best against a grand slam? By using the number-crunching computer power available nowadays, there is no longer any need to rely on general opening-lead guidelines passed down by our ancestors. We think you will be surprised by many of the discoveries made during this investigation!

About the Author

David Bird (Southampton, UK) is the world's most prolific bridge writer, with 150 bridge books to his name. Known for the clarity of his writing and explanations, he has won the American Bridge Teachers' Association Book of the Year Award a record nine times. His celebrated humorous fiction series, featuring the cantankerous Abbot, has run for over 45 years.

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TAF ANTHIAS studied mathematics at Cambridge University. With DAVID BIRD, they carried out research and development on software systems for over 30 years at IBM’s UK Laboratories. In the 1970s they formed a successful bridge partnership, winning a number of national events. Taf moved on to the USA, where he became a vice president of Cisco Systems.

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Media Reviews

April 22nd, 2013
Bridge Magazine
Like its companion volume on no trump leads, this is a superb book, an important addition to bridge literature and should be on the bookshelf of every serious player.
July 11th, 2013
ACBL Bulletin
The follow-up book to ‘Winning Notrump Leads’, and just as interesting.
August 27th, 2013
David Morgan, The Bridge World
David Bird and Taf Anthias, who previously challenged traditional ideas about opening leads against notrump, have turned their attention to leading against suit contracts. Bird and Anthias focus on frequently- occurring families of auctions. They start with uncontested auctions to game or partscore, where the opponents have bid only one suit. Then, they move on to simple competitive auctions, before considering more complex auctions, where the opponents bid more than one suit, make a splinter or preemptive raise, or open one notrump; or where partner opens with one of a suit. They also analyze leads after simple auctions to reach small and grand slams. As well, different kinds of leads are assessed: singletons, doubletons and trump leads, to determine whether there are specific types of auctions where these are more likely to succeed or fail. Some of the conclusions endorse expert practice. For example, leading your singleton is shown to be best the vast majority of the time, as is leading a trump when you have declarer’s second suit under control. Other situaitons are controversial, especially preferring passive leads from weak holdings to leading away from an honor, and the success of leading from low doubletons. Aware that these will be surprising, the authors offer as an explanation the analogy of declarer’s practice of leading up to rather than away from honors. Slightly less controversially, the authors conclude that trump leads are rarely right except in a few obvious situations or when everything else is worse.
March 25th, 2014
Australian Bridge
All serious players should read this and the authors’ previous volume and think about the conclusions they reach. Already a number of experts in Australia and elsewhere have changed their leading habits.

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